Ali warns that the UK might run out of intensive care beds if COVID-19 spreads there as it has in Italy (2020)

prediction · status: unresolved · last event: repeated (2020-03-23 (said on 2020-03-21, implied)) · owner: Ali

Told alongside: Ali says the COVID-19 pandemic might last months or even years once the curve is flattened (2020)

date	event	what	video
2020-03-11 (said on 2020-03-10, implied)	predicted	Ali warns that if COVID-19 spreads in the UK as it has in Italy, the UK might run out of intensive care beds, leaving some patients without respiratory support. (hedged)	CORONAVIRUS vs. The Flu - A Comparison 00:05:48
2020-03-23 (said on 2020-03-21, implied)	repeated	Ali warns that if the healthcare system ran out of intensive care and ventilators, doctors would have to decide who lives and who dies.	10 Tips for COVID-19 (Coronavirus) - Advice from a Respiratory Physician 00:11:40

Dates are upload dates, which set the order. Where the speaker gives a different recording date in the video, it is added as "said on YYYY-MM-DD, implied" (derived from the date said in the video).

What is said about it

3 statements, by date (the events above are the turns of the thread; these are the details).

2020-03-11 (said on 2020-03-10, implied) · CORONAVIRUS vs. The Flu - A Comparison — Ali says Italy's healthcare system is about as developed as the UK's, yet its hospitals are said to be at 200% of normal capacity, which he calls unsustainable. (hedged) — 00:06:17
2020-03-23 (said on 2020-03-21, implied) · 10 Tips for COVID-19 (Coronavirus) - Advice from a Respiratory Physician — Ali says flattening the curve spreads the COVID-19 pandemic over time, so it might last months or even years, giving the health system capacity and researchers time to find cures and vaccines. (hedged) — 00:12:09
2020-03-23 (said on 2020-03-21, implied) · 10 Tips for COVID-19 (Coronavirus) - Advice from a Respiratory Physician — Ali says doctors from other areas are being redeployed to the COVID-19 front lines to buy time. — 00:12:09